Daybreak — Follow the money

BIGGEST MOVERS · 24H

23,689 tracked · 23,638 excluded

▲+5.6pp5.3σ

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Extremely unusual move · now 9%

▲+1.6pp4.9σ

Will North America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Extremely unusual move · now 4%

▼−0.9pp4.7σ

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Extremely unusual move · now 0%

▼−0.4pp4.3σ

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Extremely unusual move · now 0%

▼−2.4pp4.2σ

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Extremely unusual move · now 0%

QUIET MOVERS · EVENTS IN 7D

n=1 quiet mover today

4%now

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

US–China tariff review period ends (in 7 days) · resolves in 7d

REALITY CHECK

Updated 2026-07-02 02:00 UTC · refreshes nightly