Legal
Financial Disclaimer
Effective April 30, 2026
Daybreak is not a financial advisor.
Nothing on Daybreak constitutes investment advice, financial advice, trading recommendations, or any other form of financial guidance. All content is provided for informational and educational purposes only.
What Daybreak shows you
- —Prices from prediction markets (Polymarket and others), which reflect aggregate trader expectations, not guaranteed outcomes.
- —Historical calibration data showing how similar market-implied probabilities have compared to eventual outcomes, with explicit confidence caveats on sparse cells.
- —Statistical analysis of price movements, liquidity, and (when live) wallet-level activity — described, never interpreted as to intent.
What Daybreak does not show you
- —Predictions about future market prices or investment returns.
- —Recommendations to buy or sell any security, prediction-market position, or financial instrument.
- —LLM-generated probability numbers. Every probability on every surface is sourced directly from market data. See Methodology.
Prediction markets
Prediction markets may not be available for trading in all jurisdictions. Participation involves real financial risk. Daybreak does not facilitate trading — we only display market prices. For trading, visit the underlying markets directly and review their terms and risk disclosures.
Data accuracy
Market data may be delayed, contain errors, or become unavailable due to API changes at source platforms. Calibration data reflects historical resolution rates subject to the caveats on the Methodology page — cells with fewer than 10 resolved markets are flagged as low-confidence.
No reliance
You should not make any investment, trading, or financial decision based solely on information from Daybreak. Conduct your own research and consult qualified financial professionals before making financial decisions.